“International aid experts”, who have a record of being wrong almost always, are assuring us that “new, technologically advanced methods” can be put in place to ensure that the money transfer from the Copenhagen Climate Change Conference will be well spent– Government agencies overseeing the spending of money not their own. If this works to eliminate corruption, it will be the first time.
Everyone is entitled to his own opinion, only the government is entitled to its own facts.
If socialism is so natural, why must it be brutally enforced?
If there is no Global Warming, how can there be greenhouse gases?
Among the speeches at Copenhagen was a plea from Robert Mugabe (I’ll destroy my country if it’s the last thing I do) about the horrors of capitalism and the necessity of money from countries fueled by capitalism.
from the book: Shadow Dancing on the Grave of Hope:
The official response to this (the death of a policeman at the hands of a wrongly released prisoner) was not to teach the parole board to use the information better but for assessors to write, you guessed it, better stories about inmates containing more information about their backgrounds, attitudes, mental status and, of all things, their sincerity. This report looked good and was very detailed. The new report will not make for better predictions but, since it is more detailed, will simply confuse the parole board while making them believe they have more information. The increase in the number of words only provides the illusion of an increase in information. The new "data" are worse than useless; however, and will lead to worse predictions because no studies have been done on validity. Although they might get more cautious, the decisions will not get better. Another mistake is waiting to happen when a "really sincere and repentant" offender rides to freedom on his horse, Sincerity. If an inmate says that crime is in his future, you can believe him. If he says that he’s sincerely finished with the criminal life, this information has no value because words are under a different set of controlling variables than actions. More specifically, words spoken in front of the parole board are under a very different set of controlling conditions than actions after release from prison, and the two must not be confused by being implicitly correlated.
A parole board is a perfect example of people trying to predict behavior based on their firm belief in their ability to do so. Parole boards are proud of the fact that they “Take all factors into account.” What they don’t take into account is their own illusions about their ability to predict behavior. Disasters are pending which will be added to those which have already occurred.
Cheerio and ttfn,
Grant Coulson
